asa.bayesian.01

Sponsor(s): Sponsoring Section/Society: ASA-SBSS

Session Time: 8:30-10:20 Monday

Estimated Audience Size: 100

A/V Request: Overhead Projector, Slide Projector

Session Title: Bayesian Analysis and Public and Private Policy Making

Theme Session: Yes $\quad$ Applied Session: No

Organizer: Zellner, Arnold  

Session Timing: Opening Remarks by Chair - 0 minutes First Speaker - 30 minutes Second Speaker - 30 minutes Third Speaker - 30 minutes First Discussant - 10 minutes Second Discussant - 10 minutes Floor Discusion - 0 minutes

Chair: Zellner, Arnold  

1. Mutual and Pension Funds Management: Beating the Markets using a Global Bayesian Investment Strategy $\quad$ Quintana, Jose Mario  

$\quad$ Putnam, Bluford H.  

2. What to Do When the Crystal Ball is Cloudy: Conditional and Unconditional Forecasting in Iowa $\quad$ Whiteman, Charles  

$\quad$ Otrok, Christopher  

3. Why use hierarchical models to assess medical profiles? $\quad$ Morris, Carl  

$\quad$ Christiansen, Cindy L.  

Discussant: Polson, Nicholas  

Discussant: Dorfman, Jeffrey  

List of speakers who are nonmembers: None