asa.epid.02

Sponsor(s): ASA Competition: Section on Epidemiology

Session Time: 8:30-10:20 Wednesday

Estimated Audience Size: xx-xxx

A/V Request: xxx

Session Title: Estimating the Magnitude of Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy Epidemics in the United Kingdom: Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) and the Probable Link to the New Variant of Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease (vCJD) in Humans

Theme Session: Yes $\quad$ Applied Session: Yes

Organizer: MaWhinney, Samantha  

Session Timing: Opening Remarks by Chair - 5 or 0 minutes First Speaker - 30 minutes (or 25) Second Speaker - 30 minutes Third Speaker - 30 minutes Discussant - 10 minutes (or none) Floor Discussion - 10 minutes (or 5 or 15)

1. Estimating an Upper Bound on the BSE Epidemic in British Cattle $\quad$ Samantha, MaWhinney  

2. Statistical Analysis of the British BSE Epidemic: Past, Present and Future $\quad$ Donnelly, Christl  

3. Analysis of New Variant CJD Cases in Great Britain: What Can We Say Now? What Will We Be Able to Say Later? $\quad$ Ferguson, Neil   Affiliation University of Oxford

List of speakers who are nonmembers: Neil Ferguson, Christl Donnelly