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Solution to Exercise 7.32.

  Assuming a normal distribution means we can use the t-distribution for confidence intervals. The basic formula for such a CI (confidence interval) is

\begin{displaymath}
\bar{x} \, \pm \, t_{\alpha/2 , \nu } \star s / \sqrt{n} ,\end{displaymath}

where

\begin{displaymath}
\bar{x} \; = \; \mbox{sample mean} ,\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
t_{\alpha/2 , \nu } \; = \; \mbox{quantile from $t$-distribution}\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
1-\alpha \; = \; \mbox{desired level of confidence}\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
\nu \; = \; n-1 \quad \mbox{ where $n$\space is sample size}\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
s \; = \; \mbox{sample standard deviation}\end{displaymath}

We want 95% confidence so $\alpha$ = .05 and n=8, so we use

\begin{displaymath}
t_{.025,7} \; = \; 2.365 .\end{displaymath}

Thus, given the data, the 95% CI is

\begin{displaymath}
30.2 \, \pm \, 2.365 * 3.1 / \sqrt{8}
 \; = \; 
30.2 \pm 2.591
 \; = \; 
30.2 \pm 2.6
 \; = \; 
(27.6,32.8) .\end{displaymath}

Thus, with 95% confidence,

\begin{displaymath}
27.6 \; \le \; \mu \; \le \; 32.8 .\end{displaymath}



Dennis Cox
3/31/2001