asa.soc.es.01

Sponsoring Section/Society: ASA-SOC

Session Slot: 10:30-12:20 Thursday

Estimated Audience Size: xx-xxx

AudioVisual Request: xxx

Session Title: Statistical Methodologies for Census 2000

Theme Session: Yes

Applied Session: Yes

Session Organizer: Thompson, John H. Bur. of Census

Address: Decennial Census, Washington, DC 20233

Phone: 301/457-3946

Fax: 301/457-3024

Email: john_h_thompson@ccmail.census.gov

Session Timing: 110 minutes total (Sorry about format):

Opening Remarks by Chair - 5 minutes Speaker - 45 minutes First Discussant - 15 minutes Second Discussant - 15 minutes Third Discussant - 15 minutes Floor Discussion - 25 minutes

Session Chair: Thompson, John H. Bur. of Census

Address: Decennial Census, Washington, DC 20233

Phone: 301/457-3946

Fax: 301/457-3024

Email: john_h_thompson@ccmail.census.gov

1. Statistical Methodologies for Census 2000-Decisions, Issues, and Preliminary Results

Waite, Preston Jay,   Bur. of Census

Address: Decennial Census, Washington, DC 20233

Phone: 301/457-3968

Fax: 301/457-3024

Email: pwaite@census.gov

Hogan, Howard, Bur. of Census, DSS

Abstract: Planning and development for Census 2000 is well underway. A fundamental strategy to achieve the goals of increased accuracy at reduced cost is the use of innovative statistical sampling methods as an integral part of census data collection. Census 2000 will be the first decennial census that will use sampling to introduce efficiencies into the follow-up of households that do not mail back a questionnaire. Census 2000 will also include, for the first time, an integrated coverage measurement survey to ensure a complete enumeration by correcting the initial census results for persons who would otherwise be missed. The Census Bureau has been conducting research throughout the decade to develop these statistical methodologies, leading to a complete plan the implementation of these methodologies. The research has been developed and discussed with the a number of advisory and stakeholder groups including the National Academy of Sciences, the American Statistical Society, and the U.S. Congress. As was the case for previous censuses, the incorporation of sampling as an integral part of census data collection is an extremely controversial topic. A number of issues, both technical and political, have been raised and extensively debated.

This paper will discuss the results of the research that has been conducted this decade and will present the final plan for implementing statistical sampling in Census 2000. The paper will also address the key methodological decisions that have been made in developing the methodologies, and will present some preliminary findings from the 1998 dress rehearsal. Finally, the issues that have been raised will be discussed.

Discussant: Mulry, Mary   M/A/R/C Research

Address: 7850 North Belt Line Road, Irving, Texas 75063-6098

Phone: 972/506-3971

Fax: 972-506-3504

Email: mary.mulry@marcresearch.com

Discussant: Rust, Keith F.   Westat, Inc.

Address: 1650 Research Blvd., Rockville, MD 20850-3129

Phone: 301/251-8278

Fax: 301/294-2034

Email: rustk1%westat@mcimail.com

Discussant: TBN  

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Phone:

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List of speakers who are nonmembers: None