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Solution to Exercise 7.42.

  Using the formulae in the box on p. 305, the lower limit of the 95% CI for $\sigma^2$ is

\begin{displaymath}
(n-1) s^2 / \chi^2_{\alpha/2,n-1} \; = \; 
(9-1) (2.81)^2 / \chi^2_{.025,9-1} \; = \; 
8 * (2.81)^2 / 17.534\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
\; = \; 63.1688 / 17.534 \; = \; 
3.602646 .\end{displaymath}

The upper limit is

\begin{displaymath}
(n-1) s^2 / \chi^2_{1-\alpha/2,n-1} \; = \; 
(9-1) (2.81)^2 / \chi^2_{.975,9-1} \; = \; 
8 * (2.81)^2 / 2.180\end{displaymath}

\begin{displaymath}
\; = \; 63.1688 / 2.180 \; = \; 
28.97651 .\end{displaymath}

In summary,

\begin{displaymath}
3.60 \; \le \; \sigma^2 \; \le \; 28.98 ,
\quad \mbox{with 95\% confidence}.\end{displaymath}

For the standard deviation, we can take square roots all the way through:

\begin{displaymath}
\sqrt{3.602646} \; \le \; \sigma \; \le \; \sqrt{28.97651} ,\end{displaymath}

or

\begin{displaymath}
1.898064 \; \le \; \sigma \; \le \; 5.382983 ,\end{displaymath}

or, rounding off to the appropriate number of significant digits,

\begin{displaymath}
1.90 \; \le \; \sigma \; \le \; 5.38 ,
\quad \mbox{with 95\% confidence}.\end{displaymath}

Not that the sample standard deviation s = 2.81 is in the interval, of course, but is not the midpoint. It is further from the upper limit, indicating there is more uncertainty on the ``high side,'' which will always be the case with this kind of confidence interval.



Dennis Cox
3/31/2001